A machine-learning-based prediction of non-home discharge among acute heart failure patients.

BACKGROUND: Scarce data on factors related to discharge disposition in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF) were available, and we sought to develop a parsimonious and simple predictive model for non-home discharge via machine learning. METHODS: This observational cohort study using a Japanese national database included 128,068 patients admitted from home for AHF between April 2014 and March 2018. The candidate predictors for non-home discharge were patient demographics, comorbidities, and treatment performed within 2 days after hospital admission. We used 80% of the population to develop a model using all 26 candidate variables and using the variable selected by 1 standard-error rule of Lasso regression, which enhances interpretability, and 20% to validate the predictive ability. RESULTS: We analyzed 128,068 patients, and 22,330 patients were not discharged to home; 7,879 underwent in-hospital death and 14,451 were transferred to other facilities. The machine-learning-based model consisted of 11 predictors, showing a discrimination ability comparable to that using all the 26 variables (c-statistic: 0.760 [95% confidence interval, 0.752-0.767] vs. 0.761 [95% confidence interval, 0.753-0.769]). The common 1SE-selected variables identified throughout all analyses were low scores in activities of daily living, advanced age, absence of hypertension, impaired consciousness, failure to initiate enteral alimentation within 2 days and low body weight. CONCLUSIONS: The developed machine learning model using 11 predictors had a good predictive ability to identify patients at high risk for non-home discharge. Our findings would contribute to the effective care coordination in this era when HF is rapidly increasing in prevalence.

Antimicrobial Prophylaxis With Ampicillin-sulbactam Compared With Cefazolin for Esophagectomy: Nationwide Inpatient Database Study in Japan.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of antimicrobial prophylaxis with ampicillin-sulbactam (ABPC/SBT) compared with cefazolin (CEZ) on the short-term outcomes after esophagectomy. BACKGROUND: CEZ is widely used for antimicrobial prophylaxis in esophagectomy without procedure-specific evidence, whereas ABPC/SBT is preferred in some hospitals to target both aerobic and anaerobic oral bacteria. METHODS: Data of patients who underwent esophagectomy for cancer between July 2010 and March 2019 were extracted from a nationwide Japanese inpatient database. Overlap propensity score weighting was conducted to compare the short-term outcomes [including surgical site infection (SSI), anastomotic leakage, and respiratory failure] between antimicrobial prophylaxis with CEZ and ABPC/SBT after adjusting for potential confounders. Sensitivity analyses were also performed using propensity score matching and instrumental variable analyses. RESULTS: Among 17,772 eligible patients, 16,077 (90.5%) and 1695 (9.5%) patients were administered CEZ and ABPC/SBT, respectively. SSI, anastomotic leakage, and respiratory failure occurred in 2971 (16.7%), 2604 (14.7%), and 2754 patients (15.5%), respectively. After overlap weighting, ABPC/SBT was significantly associated with a reduction in SSI [odds ratio 0.51 (95% CI: 0.43-0.60)], anastomotic leakage [0.51 (0.43-0.61)], and respiratory failure [0.66 (0.57-0.77)]. ABPC/SBT was also associated with reduced respiratory complications, postoperative length of stay, and total hospitalization costs. The proportion of Clostridioides difficile colitis and noninfectious complications did not differ between the groups. Propensity score matching and instrumental variable analyses demonstrated equivalent results. CONCLUSIONS: The administration of ABPC/SBT as antimicrobial prophylaxis for esophagectomy was associated with better short-term postoperative outcomes compared with CEZ.

Association Between Early Initiation of Cardiac Rehabilitation and Short-Term Outcomes of Patients With Acute Heart Failure Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit.

Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is a promising therapeutic option for chronic heart failure (HF). However, the extent to which early rehabilitation is beneficial for patients receiving critical care remains controversial. This study examined the association between the early initiation of CR and the short-term clinical outcomes of patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with acute HF. We used the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, a nationwide inpatient database in Japan, and included patients with acute HF admitted to the ICU within 2 days after hospital admission. We defined the early initiation of CR as its initiation within 2 days of hospital admission. We performed an overlap weighting based on the propensity scores and inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis to compare the clinical outcomes between patients with and without early initiation of CR. Among 25,362 eligible patients, 3,582 (14.1%) received an early initiation of CR. Overlap weighting created well-balanced cohorts, which showed that the early initiation of CR was related to lower in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR] 0.81, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.68 to 0.96) and shorter hospital stay. The inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis also showed that in-hospital mortality was lower in the patients with the early initiation of CR (OR 0.80, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.96). The instrumental variable analysis also demonstrated the association of the early initiation of CR with lower in-hospital mortality (OR 0.64, 95% CI 0.44 to 0.93). In conclusion, early initiation of CR after hospital admission was associated with better short-term outcomes in patients with acute HF admitted to the ICU, suggesting the potential of the early administration of CR for acute HF requiring intensive care.

Proportion of early extubation and short-term outcomes after esophagectomy: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The proportion of early extubation after esophagectomy varies among hospitals; however, the impact on clinical outcomes is unclear. The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate associations between the proportion of early extubation in hospitals and short-term outcomes after esophagectomy. Because there is no consensus regarding the optimal timing for extubation, the authors considered that hospitals' early extubation proportion reflects the hospital-level extubation strategy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data of patients who underwent oncologic esophagectomy (July 2010-March 2019) were extracted from a Japanese nationwide inpatient database. The proportion of patients who underwent early extubation (extubation on the day of surgery) at each hospital was assessed and grouped by quartiles: very low- (<11%), low- (11-37%), medium- (38-83%), and high-proportion (≥84%) hospitals. The primary outcome was respiratory complications; secondary outcomes included reintubation, anastomotic leakage, other major complications, and hospitalization costs. Multivariable regression analyses were performed, adjusting for patient demographics, cancer treatments, and hospital characteristics. A restricted cubic spline analysis was also performed for the primary outcome. RESULTS: Among 37 983 eligible patients across 545 hospitals, early extubation was performed in 17 931 (47%) patients. Early extubation proportions ranged from 0-100% across hospitals. Respiratory complications occurred in 10 270 patients (27%). Multivariable regression analyses showed that high- and medium-proportion hospitals were significantly associated with decreased respiratory complications [odds ratio, 0.46 (95% CI, 0.36-0.58) and 0.43 (0.31-0.60), respectively], reintubation, and hospitalization costs when compared with very low-proportion hospitals. The risk of anastomotic leakage and other major complications did not differ among groups. The restricted cubic spline analysis demonstrated a significant inverse dose-dependent association between the early extubation proportion and the risk of respiratory complications. CONCLUSION: A higher proportion of early extubation in a hospital was associated with a lower occurrence of respiratory complications, highlighting a potential benefit of early extubation after esophagectomy.

Weight loss during neoadjuvant therapy and short-term outcomes after esophagectomy: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) has become common worldwide for resectable advanced esophageal cancer and frequently involves weight loss. Although failure to rescue (death after major complications) is known as an emerging surgical quality measure, little is known about the impact of weight loss during NAT on failure to rescue. This retrospective study aimed to investigate the association of weight loss during NAT and short-term outcomes, including failure to rescue after esophagectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients who underwent esophagectomy after NAT between July 2010 and March 2019 were identified from a Japanese nationwide inpatient database. Based on quartiles of percent weight change during NAT, patients were grouped into four categories of gain, stable, small loss, and loss (>4.5%). The primary outcomes were failure to rescue and in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes were major complications, respiratory complications, anastomotic leakage, and total hospitalization costs. Multivariable regression analyses were used to compare outcomes between the groups, adjusting for potential confounders, including baseline BMI. RESULTS: Among 15 159 eligible patients, in-hospital mortality and failure to rescue occurred in 302 (2.0%) and 302/5698 (5.3%) patients, respectively. Weight loss (>4.5%) compared to gain was associated with increased failure to rescue and in-hospital mortality [odds ratios 1.55 (95% CI: 1.10-2.20) and 1.53 (1.10-2.12), respectively]. Weight loss was also associated with increased total hospitalizations costs, but not with major complications, respiratory complications, and anastomotic leakage. In subgroup analyses, regardless of baseline BMI, weight loss (>4.8% in nonunderweight or >3.1% in underweight) was a risk factor for failure to rescue and in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: Weight loss during NAT was associated with failure to rescue and in-hospital mortality after esophagectomy, independent of baseline BMI. This emphasizes the importance of weight loss measurement during NAT to assess the risk for a subsequent esophagectomy.

The ratio of TAPSE to PASP predicts prognosis in lung transplant candidates with pulmonary arterial hypertension.

Lung transplantation (LT) is the only option for patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) refractory to maximal medical therapy. However, some patients referred for LT could survive without LT, and its determinants remain unclear. This study aimed to elucidate prognostic factors of severe PAH at the referral time. We retrospectively analyzed 34 patients referred for LT evaluation. The primary outcome was a composite of death or LT. Over a median follow-up period of 2.56 years, eight patients received LT and eight died. Compared with LT-free survival group, pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (PASP) was higher (p = 0.042), and the ratio of tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) to PASP (TAPSE/PASP) was lower (p = 0.01) in LT or death group. In receiver operating characteristic analysis, the area under the curve was 0.759 (95% confidence interval 0.589-0.929) for TAPSE/PASP to predict primary outcome, and the optimal cut-off value was 0.30 mm/mmHg (sensitivity 0.875 and specificity 0.667). In a multivariate analysis, TAPSE/PASP was independently associated with death or LT. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a better LT-free survival in patients with TAPSE/PASP ≧0.30 mm/mmHg than in those with < 0.30 mm/mmHg (p = 0.001). Low-level TAPSE/PASP could be a poor prognostic factor in PAH patients referred for LT evaluation.

Association of early acute-phase rehabilitation initiation on outcomes among patients aged ≥90 years with acute heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Data on the potential benefit of acute-phase rehabilitation initiation in very old (aged ≥90) patients with acute heart failure (AHF) have been scarce. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed data from the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, which is a nationwide inpatient database. This study included patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF) from January 2010 to March 2018, those aged ≥90 years, who had a length of stay of ≥3 days, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class of ≥II, and had not undergone major procedures under general anesthesia. Propensity score matching and generalized linear models were used to compare in-hospital mortality, length of stay, 30-day readmission rate due to HF, all-cause 30-day readmission, and improvement in activities of daily living (ADL) between patients with and without an acute-phase rehabilitation initiation, which is defined as the rehabilitation initiation within 2 days after hospital admission. RESULTS: Acute-phase rehabilitation was initiated in 8588 of 41,896 eligible patients. Propensity score matching created 8587 pairs. Patients with acute-phase rehabilitation initiation have lower in-hospital mortality (9.0% vs. 11.2%, p < 0.001). Acute-phase rehabilitation initiation was associated with lower in-hospital mortality (odds ratio, 0.778; 95% confidence interval, 0.704-0.860). Patients with acute-phase rehabilitation initiation have a shorter median length of stay (17 days vs. 18 days, p < 0.001), lower 30-day readmission rate due to HF (5.5% vs. 6.4%, p = 0.011) and all-cause 30-day readmission (10.2% vs. 11.2%, p = 0.036), and better ADL improvement (49.7% vs. 46.9%, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed consistent results (sex, body mass index, NYHA class, and Barthel Index). CONCLUSIONS: The acute-phase rehabilitation initiation was associated with improved short-term clinical outcomes in patients aged ≥90 years with AHF.

Age-Dependent Association Between Modifiable Risk Factors and Incident Cardiovascular Disease.

Background There have been limited data examining the age-dependent relationship of wide-range risk factors with the incidence of each subtype of cardiovascular disease (CVD) event. We assessed age-related associations between modifiable risk factors and the incidence of CVD. Methods and Results We analyzed 3 027 839 participants without a CVD history enrolled in the JMDC Claims Database (mean age, 44.8±11.0 years; 57.6% men). Each participant was categorized as aged 20 to 49 years (n=2 008 559), 50 to 59 years (n=712 273), and 60 to 75 years (n=307 007). Using Cox proportional hazards models and the relative risk reduction, we identified associations between risk factors and incident CVD, consisting of myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, and heart failure (HF). We assessed whether the association of risk factors for developing CVD would be modified by age category. Over a mean follow-up of 1133 days, 6315 myocardial infarction, 56 447 angina pectoris, 28 079 stroke, and 56 369 HF events were recorded. The incidence of myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, and HF increased with age category. Hazard ratios of obesity, hypertension, and diabetes in the multivariable Cox regression analyses for myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, and HF decreased with age category. The relative risk reduction of obesity, hypertension, and diabetes for CVD events decreased with age category. For example, the relative risk reduction of hypertension for HF decreased from 59.2% in participants aged 20 to 49 years to 38.1% in those aged 60 to 75 years. Conclusions The contribution of modifiable risk factor to the development of CVD is greater in younger compared with older individuals. Preventive efforts for risk factor modification may be more effective in younger people.

Early postoperative non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and anastomotic leakage after oesophagectomy.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have suggested that postoperative non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use may increase the risk of anastomotic leakage after colorectal surgery. However, the association between NSAIDs and anastomotic leakage after oesophagectomy is unclear. The aim of this retrospective study was to assess the effect of early postoperative NSAID use on anastomotic leakage after oesophagectomy. METHODS: The Data of patients who underwent oesophagectomy for cancer between July 2010 and March 2019 were extracted from a Japanese nationwide inpatient database. Stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), propensity score matching, and instrumental variable analyses were performed to investigate the association between NSAID use in the early postoperative period (defined as the day of and the day after surgery) and short-term outcomes, adjusting for potential confounders. The primary outcome was anastomotic leakage. The secondary outcomes were acute kidney injury, gastrointestinal bleeding, and mortality. RESULTS: Among 39 418 eligible patients, early postoperative NSAIDs were used by 16 211 individuals (41 per cent). Anastomotic leakage occurred in 5729 patients (15 per cent). In stabilized IPTW analyses, NSAIDs were not associated with anastomotic leakage (odds ratio 1.04, 95 per cent c.i. 0.97 to 1.10). The proportions of acute kidney injury and gastrointestinal bleeding, as well as 30-day mortality and in-hospital mortality, did not differ according to NSAID use. Propensity score matching and instrumental variable analyses demonstrated similar results. CONCLUSION: Early postoperative NSAID use was not associated with anastomotic leakage or other complications in patients who underwent oesophagectomy.

Association of weight change and in-hospital mortality in patients with repeated hospitalization for heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Although weight loss in heart failure (HF) is a detrimental condition known as cachexia, weight gain caused by fluid retention should also be considered harmful. However, studies with sufficient number of patients examining the impact of weight change and its interval on in-hospital mortality in HF have not been conducted thus far. We sought to elucidate the association of weight change with in-hospital mortality in patients with HF. METHODS: This retrospective observational study used data from the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, a nationwide inpatient health claims database in Japan. In total, 48 234 patients repeatedly hospitalized for HF (median 82 [74-87] years; 46.4% men) between 2010 and 2018 were included. Weight change was derived from body weight at the first and second admissions. RESULTS: The median weight change and interval between two hospitalizations were -3.1 [-8.3 to -1.8] % and 172 [67-420] days, with 66.9% of overall cohort experiencing any weight loss. As a result of multivariable-adjusted logistic regression analysis, weight loss <-5.0% and weight gain >+5.0% were associated with increased in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR] [95% confidence interval]: 1.46 [1.31-1.62], P < 0.001 and 1.23 [1.08-1.40], P = 0.002, respectively) whereas mild weight loss and gain of 2.0-5.0% were not (OR [95% confidence interval]: 0.96 [0.84-1.10], P = 0.57 and 1.07 [0.92-1.25], P = 0.37, respectively), in comparison with patients with a stable weight (fluctuating no more than -2.0% to +2.0%) used as a reference. Restrictive cubic spline models adjusted for multiple background factors illustrated that higher mortality in patients with weight loss was observed across all subgroups of the baseline body mass index (<18.5, 18.5-24.9 and ≥25.0 kg/m2 ). In patients with short (<90 days) and middle (<180 days) intervals between the two hospitalizations, both weight loss and weight gain were associated with high mortality, whereas the association between weight gain and high mortality was attenuated in those with longer intervals. CONCLUSIONS: Both weight loss and weight gain in patients with repeated hospitalization for HF were associated with high in-hospital mortality, especially weight loss and short/middle-term weight gain. Such patients should be treated with caution in a setting of repeated hospitalization for HF.

Interaction of Blood Pressure and Glycemic Status in Developing Cardiovascular Disease: Analysis of a Nationwide Real-World Database.

Background Hypertension and diabetes frequently coexist. However, little is known about the interaction between high blood pressure (BP) and hyperglycemia in the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Methods and Results We conducted an observational cohort study that included 3 336 363 patients (median age, 43 years old; men, 57.2%). People taking BP- or glucose-lowering medications or those with prior history of CVD were excluded. We defined stage 1 hypertension as having systolic BP of 130 to 139 mm Hg or diastolic BP of 80 to 89 mm Hg and stage 2 hypertension as having systolic BP of ≥140 mm Hg or diastolic BP of ≥90 mm Hg. We defined prediabetes as having fasting plasma glucose of 100 to 125 mg/dL and diabetes as having fasting plasma glucose of ≥126 mg/dL. Over a mean follow-up period of 1185 ± 942 days, 5665 myocardial infarction, 52 475 angina pectoris, 25 436 stroke, 54 508 heart failure, and 12 932 atrial fibrillation events occurred. The BP and fasting plasma glucose categories additively increased the risk of myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, stroke, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. However, the relative risk of stage 1 and stage 2 hypertension developing into CVD was attenuated with deteriorating glycemic status. Similarly, the relative risk of prediabetes and diabetes developing into CVD was attenuated with increasing BP. For example, the relative risk reduction of stage 2 hypertension for heart failure was 53.5% in individuals with normal fasting plasma glucose, 46.4% in those with prediabetes, and 37.2% in those with diabetes. The robustness of our findings was confirmed using a multitude of sensitivity analyses. Conclusions Although hypertension and hyperglycemia additively increase the risk of developing CVD, the relative contribution of hypertension to the development of CVD decreased with deteriorating glycemic status and that of hyperglycemia was attenuated with increasing BP. Our results indicate a potential interaction between hypertension and hyperglycemia in the development of CVD.

Association of cardiovascular health metrics with annual incidence of prediabetes or diabetes: Analysis of a nationwide real-world database.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: Little is known about the relationship between cardiovascular health (CVH) metrics and the risk of developing prediabetes or diabetes. We examined the association of CVH metrics with the annual risk of developing prediabetes or diabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We carried out this study including 403,857 participants aged 18-71 years with available data on fasting plasma glucose (FPG) data for five consecutive years and with normal FPG (<100 mg/dL) at the initial health checkup. We identified the following ideal CVH metrics: non-smoking, body mass index of <25 kg/m2 , maintaining physical activity, taking breakfast, untreated blood pressure of <120/80 mmHg and untreated total cholesterol of <200 mg/dL. We defined the primary end-point as prediabetes (FPG 100-125 mg/dL) or diabetes (FPG ≥126 mg/dL or use of antihyperglycemic medications). We examined the relationship of CVH metrics with the annual incidence of prediabetes or diabetes. Additionally, we examined the association of 1-year changes in CVH metrics with the risk for prediabetes or diabetes. RESULTS: The median age was 44 years, and 65.6% were men. An increasing number of non-ideal CVH metrics was associated with an elevated risk of prediabetes or diabetes. A non-ideal body mass index was most strongly associated with the risk of prediabetes or diabetes. The risk of developing prediabetes or diabetes rose as the number of non-ideal CVH metrics increased over 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: CVH metrics could stratify the risk of the annual development of prediabetes or diabetes. The risk of developing prediabetes or diabetes might be reduced by improving CVH metrics.

Usefulness of the predicted percentage ventilatory efficiency for carbon dioxide output during exercise in patients with chronic heart failure.

The ventilatory efficiency for carbon dioxide output ([Formula: see text]CO2) during exercise, as measured by the minute ventilation vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 slope ([Formula: see text]E vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 slope), is a powerful prognostic index in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). This measurement is higher in women than in men, and it increases with age. This study aimed to investigate the usefulness of the predicted value of the percentage [Formula: see text]E vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 slope (%[Formula: see text]E vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 slope) as a prognostic index in patients with CHF. A total of 320 patients with CHF and a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 45% (male, 85.6%; mean age, 64.6 years) who underwent symptom-limited cardiopulmonary exercise tests using a cycle ergometer were included in the study. The %[Formula: see text]E vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 was calculated using predictive formulae based on age and sex. Cardiovascular-related death was defined as the primary endpoint. The mean follow-up duration was 7.5 ± 3.3 years. Of 101 patients who died during the study period, 75 experienced cardiovascular-related deaths. The average [Formula: see text]E vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 slope was 32.8 ± 8.0, and the average %[Formula: see text]E vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 slope was 119.6 ± 28.2%. The cumulative incidence of cardiovascular-related death after 10 years of follow-up were 44.7% (95% CI 34.4-54.6%) in patients with %[Formula: see text]E vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 slope > 120 and 15.0% (95% CI 9.4-21.8%) in patients with %[Formula: see text]E vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 slope ≤ 120. The multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that a %[Formula: see text]E vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 slope > 120 was an independent predictor of cardiovascular-related death (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.24; 95% confidence interval 1.65-6.67; p < 0.01). The %[Formula: see text]E vs. [Formula: see text]CO2 slope can be used for risk stratification in patients with CHF and an LVEF < 45%.

Impact of Prophylactic Corticosteroid Use on In-hospital Mortality and Respiratory Failure After Esophagectomy for Esophageal Cancer: Nationwide Inpatient Data Study in Japan.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of preoperative prophylactic corticosteroid use on short-term outcomes after oncologic esophagectomy. BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that prophylactic corticosteroid use may decrease the risk of respiratory failure following esophagectomy by attenuating the perioperative systemic inflammation response. However, its effectiveness has been controversial, and its impact on mortality remains unknown. METHODS: Data of patients who underwent oncologic esophagectomy between July 2010 and March 2019 were extracted from a Japanese nationwide inpatient database. Stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting, propensity score matching, and instrumental variable analyses were performed to investigate the associations between prophylactic corticosteroid use and short-term outcomes, such as in-hospital mortality and respiratory failure, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Among 35,501 eligible patients, prophylactic corticosteroids were used in 22,620 (63.7%) patients. In-hospital mortality, respiratory failure, and severe respiratory failure occurred in 924 (2.6%), 5440 (15.3%), and 2861 (8.1%) patients, respectively. In stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting analyses, corticosteroids were significantly associated with decreased in-hospital mortality [odds ratio (OR)=0.80; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.69-0.93], respiratory failure (OR=0.84; 95% CI: 0.79-0.90), and severe respiratory failure (OR=0.87; 95% CI: 0.80-0.95). Corticosteroids were also associated with decreased postoperative length of stay and total hospitalization costs. The proportion of anastomotic leakage did not differ with the use of Propensity score matching and instrumental variable analysis demonstrated similar results. CONCLUSIONS: Prophylactic corticosteroid use in oncologic esophagectomy was associated with lower in-hospital mortality as well as decreased respiratory failure and severe respiratory failure, suggesting a potential benefit for preoperative corticosteroid use in esophagectomy.

Impact of Body Mass Index on Major Complications, Multiple Complications, In-hospital Mortality, and Failure to Rescue After Esophagectomy for Esophageal Cancer: A Nationwide Inpatient Database Study in Japan.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of BMI with mortality and related outcomes after oncologic esophagectomy. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Previous studies showed that high BMI was a risk factor for anastomotic leakage and low BMI was a risk factor for respiratory complications after esophagectomy. However, the association between BMI and in-hospital mortality after oncologic esophagectomy remains unclear. METHODS: Data for patients who underwent esophagectomy for esophageal cancer between July 2010 and March 2019 were extracted from a Japanese nationwide inpatient database. Multivariate regression analyses and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to investigate the associations between BMI and short-term outcomes, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Among 39,406 eligible patients, in-hospital mortality, major complications, and multiple complications (≥2 major complications) occurred in 1069 (2.7%), 14,824 (37.6%), and 3621 (9.2%), respectively. Compared with normal weight (18.5-22.9 kg/m 2 ), severe underweight (<16.0 kg/m 2 ), mild/moderate underweight (16.0-18.4 kg/m 2 ), and obese (≥27.5 kg/m 2 )were significantly associated with higher in-hospital mortality [odds ratio 2.20 (95% confidence interval 1.65-2.94), 1.25 (1.01-1.49), and 1.48 (1.05-2.09), respectively]. BMI showed U-shaped dose-response associations with mortality, major complications, and multiple complications. BMI also showed a reverse J-shaped association with failure to rescue (death after major complications). CONCLUSIONS: Both high BMI and low BMI were associated with mortality, major complications and multiple complications after esophagectomy for esophageal cancer. Patients with low BMI were more likely to die once a major complication occurred. The present results can assist with risk stratification in patients undergoing oncologic esophagectomy.

Blood Pressure Classification Using the 2017 ACC/AHA Guideline and Heart Failure in Patients With Cancer.

PURPOSE: Despite the growing recognition of the importance of hypertension in patients with cancer, little is known about whether high blood pressure (BP) among patients with cancer is associated with incident heart failure (HF) and other cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and what BP levels are linked to these events. We examined the association of BP classification on the basis of the 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association BP guideline with the risk of HF and CVD events in patients with cancer. METHODS: We studied 33,991 patients with a history of breast, colorectal, or stomach cancer (median age, 53 years; 34.1% men). Patients receiving treatment with BP-lowering medications or having a history of CVD including HF were excluded. Using BP measurements at baseline, 33,991 participants were categorized as having normal BP (n = 17,444), elevated BP (n = 4,733), stage 1 hypertension (n = 7,502), or stage 2 hypertension (n = 4,312). The primary outcome was HF. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 2.6 ± 2.2 years, 779 HF events were recorded. After multivariable adjustment, the hazard ratios (HRs) for HF were 1.15 (95% CI, 0.93 to 1.44) for elevated BP, 1.24 (95% CI, 1.03 to 1.49) for stage 1 hypertension, and 1.99 (95% CI, 1.63 to 2.43) for stage 2 hypertension. A stepwise increase in risk with BP categories was also observed in other CVD events. This association was observed even in patients undergoing active cancer treatment. The relationship between hypertension and the risk of developing HF in patients with cancer was confirmed in the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. CONCLUSION: Medication-naïve stage 1 and 2 hypertension was associated with a greater risk of HF and other CVD events in patients with cancer. Our results suggest the importance of multidisciplinary collaboration (eg, oncologists and cardiologists) to establish the optimal management strategy for hypertension in patients with cancer.

Study Design of the Japanese Association of Cardiac Rehabilitation Registry (J-CARRY)　- Protocol for a Prospective, Multicenter, Open Registry.

Background: Guidelines for the prevention and management of cardiovascular disease (CVD) highly recommend cardiac rehabilitation (CR) on the basis of abundant evidence of its effectiveness. However, the current understanding and dissemination of CR in Japan are far from sufficient. Methods and Results: The Japanese Association of Cardiac Rehabilitation Registry (J-CARRY) is an academic society-led prospective multicenter observational registry conducted by the Registration and Facility Accreditation System Committee of the Japanese Association of Cardiac Rehabilitation. Data are collected prospectively using an electronic data capture system. Items related to patients' clinical background and CR, as well as mortality and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events, will be collected in all cases. This Registry started in May 2014, and the number of participating medical institutions is expected to increase to >30; the targeted number of cases exceeded 3,000 per year as of April 30, 2022. Focusing on late Phase II data collection is a novel and significantly different approach compared with previous studies. The results of this study are currently under investigation. Conclusions: J-CARRY will provide real-world data regarding the current status and prognosis of CVD in patients who undergo Phase II CR in Japan.

Reduction in blood pressure for elevated blood pressure/stage 1 hypertension according to the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guideline and cardiovascular outcomes.

AIMS: Few studies have examined the relationship of blood pressure (BP) change in adults with elevated BP or stage 1 hypertension according to the American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) guideline with cardiovascular outcomes. We sought to identify the effect of BP change among individuals with elevated BP or stage 1 hypertension on incident heart failure (HF) and other cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study including 616 483 individuals (median age 46 years, 73.7% men) with elevated BP or stage 1 hypertension based on the ACC/AHA BP guideline. Participants were categorized using BP classification at one-year as normal BP (n = 173 558), elevated BP/stage 1 hypertension (n = 367 454), or stage 2 hypertension (n = 75 471). The primary outcome was HF, and the secondary outcomes included (separately) myocardial infarction (MI), angina pectoris (AP), and stroke. Over a mean follow-up of 1097 ± 908 days, 10 544 HFs, 1317 MIs, 11 070 APs, and 5198 strokes were recorded. Compared with elevated BP/stage 1 hypertension at one-year, normal BP at one-year was associated with a lower risk of developing HF [hazard ratio (HR): 0.89, 95% CI:0.85-0.94], whereas stage 2 hypertension at one-year was associated with an elevated risk of developing HF (HR:1.43, 95% CI:1.36-1.51). This association was also present in other cardiovascular outcomes including MI, AP, and stroke. The relationship was consistent in all subgroups stratified by age, sex, baseline BP category, and overweight/obesity. CONCLUSION: A one-year decline in BP was associated with the lower risk of HF, MI, AP, and stroke, suggesting the importance of lowering BP in individuals with elevated BP or stage 1 hypertension according to the ACC/AHA guideline to prevent the risk of developing CVD.

Dose-dependent relationship of blood pressure and glycaemic status with risk of aortic dissection and aneurysm.

AIMS: Data on the dose-dependent association of blood pressure (BP) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) level with the risk of aortic dissection (AD) and aortic aneurysm (AA) are limited. METHODS AND RESULTS: This observational cohort study included 3 358 293 individuals registered in a health checkup and claims database in Japan [median age, 43 (36-51) years; 57.2% men]. Individuals using BP- or glucose-lowering medications or those with a history of cardiovascular disease were excluded. In a mean follow-up period of 1 199 ± 950 days, 1 095 and 2 177 cases of AD and AA, respectively, were recorded. Compared with normal/elevated BP, hazard ratios (HRs) of Stage 1 and Stage 2 hypertension were 1.89 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.60-2.22] and 5.87 (95% CI: 5.03-6.84) for AD and 1.37 (95% CI: 1.23-1.52) and 2.17 (95% CI: 1.95-2.42) for AA, respectively. Compared with normal FPG level, HRs of prediabetes and diabetes were 0.82 (95% CI: 0.71-0.94) and 0.48 (95% CI: 0.33-0.71) for AD and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.85-1.03) and 0.61 (95% CI: 0.47-0.79) for AA, respectively. The cubic spline demonstrated that the risk of AD and AA increased with increasing BP but decreased with increasing FPG level. Contour plots using generalized additive models showed that higher systolic BP and lower FPG level were associated with an elevated risk of AD and AA. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis showed a dose-dependent increase in the risk of AD or AA associated with BP and a similar decrease associated with FPG, and also suggested a potential interaction between hypertension and hyperglycaemia in the development of AD and AA.

Short-Term Outcomes of Epidural Analgesia in Minimally Invasive Esophagectomy for Esophageal Cancer: Nationwide Inpatient Data Study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Studies have shown that epidural analgesia (EDA) is associated with a decreased risk of pneumonia and anastomotic leakage after esophagectomy, and several guidelines strongly recommend EDA use after esophagectomy. However, the benefit of EDA use in minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE) remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this retrospective study was to compare the short-term outcomes between patients with and without EDA undergoing MIE for esophageal cancer. METHODS: Data of patients who underwent oncologic MIE (April 2014-March 2019) were extracted from a Japanese nationwide inpatient database. Stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), propensity score matching, and instrumental variable analyses were performed to investigate the associations between EDA use and short-term outcomes, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Among 12,688 eligible patients, EDA was used in 9954 (78.5%) patients. In-hospital mortality, respiratory complications, and anastomotic leakage occurred in 230 (1.8%), 2139 (16.9%), and 1557 (12.3%) patients, respectively. In stabilized IPTW, EDA use was significantly associated with decreased in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR] 0.46 [95% confidence interval 0.34-0.61]), respiratory complications (OR 0.74 [0.66-0.84]), and anastomotic leakage (OR 0.77 [0.67-0.88]). EDA use was also associated with decreased prolonged mechanical ventilation, unplanned intubation, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use, acetaminophen use, postoperative length of stay, and total hospitalization costs and increased vasopressor use. One-to-three propensity score matching and instrumental variable analyses demonstrated equivalent results. CONCLUSIONS: EDA use in oncologic MIE was associated with low in-hospital mortality as well as decreased respiratory complications, and anastomotic leakage, suggesting the potential advantage of EDA use in MIE.